Outlook

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Status: October 20, 2017 – Interim Report Q3 2017

On the basis of expected market developments and the current assessments of the divisions, Daimler assumes that Group EBIT will increase significantly once again in 2017.

Outlook for Daimler

Daimler assumes that Group revenue will increase significantly in the year 2017. As a result of the significant growth in unit sales, the Mercedes-Benz Cars, Daimler Buses, and Daimler Financial Services divisions expect significantly higher revenues than in 2016. Mercedes-Benz Vans anticipates slight revenue growth and the Daimler Trucks division now also expects its revenue to be significantly higher than in the previous year. In regional terms, the strongest growth is anticipated in Asia and Europe.

On the basis of expected market developments and the current assessments of the divisions, Daimler assumes that Group EBIT will increase significantly once again in 2017.

The individual divisions have the following expectations for EBIT in the year 2017:

  • Mercedes-Benz Cars: significantly above the prior-year level,
  • Daimler Trucks: significantly above the prior-year level,
  • Mercedes-Benz Vans: around the prior-year level,
  • Daimler Buses: slightly below the prior-year level, and
  • Daimler Financial Services: significantly above the prior-year level.

Daimler Trucks anticipates expenses in connection with the planned optimization of fixed costs, especially at the Mercedes-Benz brand, of up to €0.2 billion, most of which will be recognized in 2017. Due to employee-transfer opportunities within the Daimler Group, Daimler Trucks now expects these expenses to be lower than originally assumed. In the first nine months of 2017, expenses of €94 million were recognized in this respect. The realization of the fixed cost reduction/optimization continues as scheduled.

The anticipated development of earnings in the automotive divisions will have a positive impact on the free cash flow of the industrial business also in the year 2017. Despite a further increase in advance expenditure for new products and technologies, the free cash flow from the industrial business – without taking into consideration a planned extraordinary contribution of €3.0 billion to the German pension plan assets of Daimler AG – should be slightly above the level of 2016 and thus higher than the dividend distribution in 2017. Taking into consideration the extraordinary contribution to the pension plan assets, we expect the free cash flow from the industrial business to be lower than in 2016. “With our good balance sheet and solid cash flow, we intend to increase the funded status of our pension obligations. In this way, we are reaffirming our pension commitments to our employees,” stated Bodo Uebber. Furthermore, the company intends to contribute to the strengthening of Daimler’s A-Rating.

In order to achieve its ambitious growth targets, Daimler will once again significantly increase its already very high investment in property, plant and equipment in the year 2017 (2016: €5.9 billion). Capital expenditure in 2017 at both Mercedes-Benz Cars and Daimler Trucks will primarily be for successor generations for existing products, new products, global component projects and the optimization of the worldwide production network.

With its research and development activities, Daimler anticipates a total volume significantly above last year’s spending of €7.6 billion. Key projects at Mercedes-Benz Cars include successor models for the current S-Class and C-Class. In addition, the Group is investing in new, more efficient engines, alternatively driven vehicles and drive systems, autonomous driving and connectivity. At Daimler Trucks, the main areas of investment continue to be for improved fuel efficiency, alternative drive systems and future technologies, as well as the development of tailored products and technologies, especially for Latin America and China.

Against the backdrop of further efficiency improvements in the context of the medium- and long-term programs for the structural improvement of business processes, Daimler assumes that its ambitious growth targets can be achieved with only a slight increase in the size of the workforce.

More detailed information can be found in the extensive Annual and Interim Reports as well as in additional data files and reporting formats.

Forward-looking statements:

This Digital Offering contains forward-looking statements that reflect our current views about future events. The words “anticipate,” “assume,” “believe,” “estimate,” “expect,” “intend,” “may,” ”can,” “could,” “plan,” “project,” “should” and similar expressions are used to identify forward-looking statements. These statements are subject to many risks and uncertainties, including an adverse development of global economic conditions, in particular a decline of demand in our most important markets; a deterioration of our refinancing possibilities on the credit and financial markets; events of force majeure including natural disasters, acts of terrorism, political unrest, armed conflicts, industrial accidents and their effects on our sales, purchasing, production or financial services activities; changes in currency exchange rates; a shift in consumer preferences towards smaller, lower-margin vehicles; a possible lack of acceptance of our products or services which limits our ability to achieve prices and adequately utilize our production capacities; price increases for fuel or raw materials; disruption of production due to shortages of materials, labor strikes or supplier insolvencies; a decline in resale prices of used vehicles; the effective implementation of cost-reduction and efficiency-optimization measures; the business outlook for companies in which we hold a significant equity interest; the successful implementation of strategic cooperations and joint ventures; changes in laws, regulations and government policies, particularly those relating to vehicle emissions, fuel economy and safety; the resolution of pending government investigations or of investigations requested by governments and the conclusion of pending or threatened future legal proceedings; and other risks and uncertainties, some of which we describe under the heading “Risk and Opportunity Report” in the current Annual Report. If any of these risks and uncertainties materializes or if the assumptions underlying any of our forward-looking statements prove to be incorrect, the actual results may be materially different from those we express or imply by such statements. We do not intend or assume any obligation to update these forward-looking statements since they are based solely on the circumstances at the date of publication.

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